Prospects for the construction industry have weakened with developments over the first half of the year
Washington, D.C. – July 24, 2017 – The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast projects annual growth in the 3.5 percent to 4.0 percent range for the remainder of 2017 as well as for 2018, with a slower growing commercial/industrial market, and an institutional sector facing several challenges. While some slowdown in the commercial sector was anticipated for 2017 and 2018, it was expected to be offset by acceleration in the institutional sector. However, year-to date growth in spending for institutional buildings is at only 3%, well below expectations when the year began.
“Despite billings at architecture firms performing quite well this year, the larger construction industry is facing a range of issues,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. “The somewhat weaker outlook is driven by several factors, some dealing with the broader U.S. economy, some dealing with general construction industry fundamentals, and some dealing with weakness in specific construction sectors.”
Learn more about the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast:
https://www.aia.org/articles/139741-moderating-economic-growth-triggers-constru
| Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts | 2017 | 2018 |
| Overall nonresidential building | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Commercial / industrial | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Retail | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Office space | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Hotels | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Industrial facilities | -6.6% | 1.1% |
| Institutional | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Amusement / recreation | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Education | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Public safety | 1.4% | 3.7% |
| Healthcare facilities | 0.9% | 3.5% |
| Religious | -9.2% | -1.0% |
About the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel
The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel is conducted twice a year with the leading nonresidential construction forecasters in the United States including, Dodge Data & Analytics, Wells Fargo Securities, IHS Markit, Moody’s Economy.com, ConstructConnect, Associated Builders & Contractors and FMI. The purpose of the Consensus Construction Forecast Panel is to project business conditions in the construction industry over the coming 18 to 24 months. The Consensus Construction Forecast Panel has been conducted for 18 years.
About The American Institute of Architects
Founded in 1857, the American Institute of Architects consistently works to create more valuable, healthy, secure, and sustainable buildings, neighborhoods, and communities. Through nearly 300 state and local chapters, the AIA advocates for public policies that promote economic vitality and public wellbeing. Members adhere to a code of ethics and conduct to ensure the highest professional standards. The AIA provides members with tools and resources to assist them in their careers and business as well as engaging civic and government leaders and the public to find solutions to pressing issues facing our communities, institutions, nation and world. Visit
www.aia.org.
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